microsoft
Report a problem

If Windows is a dead end, what's next?

Daniel Fleshbourne   via InfoWorld on 04 November 2008 - 11:39 · 45 comments & 8271 views

Advertisement (Why?)
The writing is on the wall. Despite a major push to sell the much-maligned Windows Vista, customers aren't buying. Nearly two years after Vista's release, Windows XP remains the standard desktop OS in business, and Microsoft has extended its availability three times (currently to August 2009) due to customer demand. Microsoft itself forecasts just 2 percent growth in Vista sales in early 2009, after lackluster sales in 2008. And that's after forcing customers to buy Vista to get XP "downgrades."

So all eyes were on Microsoft's Professional Developer Conference in Los Angeles last week as Microsoft finally took the wrap off Windows 7, the successor to Vista due in early 2010. But early reaction is that Windows 7 is just a cleaned-up Vista. It's essentially the same kernel and the same OS, with a couple new technologies thrown in, such as the Surface-based multitouch capabilities and the ability for developers to ribbon-bar-enable their own apps for better consistency with Microsoft's new UI approach (one that people either seem to love or hate). "It's not anything radical," says Neil MacDonald, a Gartner analyst who follows Microsoft. "It's a polished version of Vista."

Post a comment · Send to friend Comments · There are 45 additional comments
(2 replies) #1 Soldiers33 on 04 Nov 2008 - 12:51
if you dnt like it then dnt buy it. its as simple as that
#1.1 Shiranui on 05 Nov 2008 - 00:13
Soldiers33 said,
if you dnt like it then dnt buy it. its as simple as that


Just like if you don't want to use an 'o' an apostrophe or capital letters, don't.
#1.2 ]SK[ on 05 Nov 2008 - 07:54
Shiranui said,
Just like if you don't want to use an 'o' an apostrophe or capital letters, don't.


(2 replies) #2 basix on 04 Nov 2008 - 12:51
The public dosn't even know why they dislike vista, so after a 2 year roll of negative spin from evrywhere and nowhere at once they may see "seven" as a mediocre upgrade. I blame XP for being fortified by time and SP's, Robert Scoble for over-hyping Longhorn throughout the beta period, IHV's lackluster support for their own devices and then just to ice the cake; Apples childish yet effective advertising.
#2.1 Shiranui on 05 Nov 2008 - 00:14
basix said,
The public dosn't even know why they dislike vista,


Exactly.
#2.2 cork1958 on 06 Nov 2008 - 11:30
Shiranui said,
Exactly.



Yeah, right, like they don't know why. It's simple. It's a TOTOAL POS!!

These same people you're talking about are the same brain dead people that think Firefox is so great just becuase everyone else says it is. People have lost the ability to think for themselves anymore.
(1 reply) #3 Evolution on 04 Nov 2008 - 13:50
Windows 7 is a lot more than a few technologies thrown in.... a great many optimizations were made in performance, usability and reliability.
#3.1 +ispamforfood on 05 Nov 2008 - 15:41
Ya.... but its stil windows vista! Run! Run like the wind! :rofl:
(5 replies) #4 LTD on 04 Nov 2008 - 13:59
Windows needs a complete re-write, a la Mac OS 9 - OS X.

Include some sort of old Windows emulation mode, and start a program whereby consumers and businesses can be more comfortably transitioned over to the new environment. Have this in place for a year or two, buttressed by an effective (for once) marketing campaign to get everyone excited.

Perhaps Windows 7 will finally do away with compatibility issues, UI problems, speed problems. The easiest answer (but perhaps not easiest in practice) is to adopt a closed system like Apple has, whereby you control the whole widget. Obviously, the likelihood of this ever happening is virtually nil. It can be done, though.

There really is no way to get away from the problems caused by an OS having to be everything to everyone - it's the Banana-Boat Syndrome. With it comes all the challenges of compatibility, drivers, etc. The reality is that the problems and challenges will always be there with Windows. It's simply the way MS' licensing works. The challenge is to manage these problems effectively. I'm not sure that it's been done very effectively up until this point. Starting from scratch might at least breathe new life into MS and give them a chance to sit down with their partners and hammer out a new paradigm whereby ease of use - at least out of the box - would more closely approach that of its competitors.
#4.1 GreyWolfSC on 04 Nov 2008 - 14:31
No, it doesn't.
#4.2 rajputwarrior on 04 Nov 2008 - 15:11
i agree, i think they do need a re write. The only reason Apple got to where it is today is because of a rewrite. It was the best way to the OS easier to use and to develop for. Most developers will tell you that they love coding for OSX compared to windows because its a whole lot easier to do. I thought Min Win would be a good step towards a re write, but i guess i was wrong.
#4.3 schubb on 04 Nov 2008 - 17:09
rajputwarrior said,
i agree, i think they do need a re write. The only reason Apple got to where it is today is because of a rewrite. It was the best way to the OS easier to use and to develop for. Most developers will tell you that they love coding for OSX compared to windows because its a whole lot easier to do. I thought Min Win would be a good step towards a re write, but i guess i was wrong.


You're right, because the DOJ and the EU courts would have no issue with Microsoft doing the things apple does would they? Come on they can't even add media player, but you think they can offer a completely closed system?

And as for ease of use - seriously OSX is no better then Vista for ease of use. I don't get this statement, 8 years ago it was absolutely true.

And as for coding being easier, you are joking right? Anyone can pick up WSH and start writing goofy scripts, graduate into VB Net and start coding. Everyone I know who has started to code for any Apple OS has quit because it is has been harder.
#4.4 Shadrack on 04 Nov 2008 - 18:30
I agree. They need to rework Windows from the ground up. Build in some virtual machine that runs "classic" windows for old software.
#4.5 +Chrono951 on 05 Nov 2008 - 07:35
First, let me say that its great to see my friend Daniel keeping up his duty to provide Neowin with its mandatory supplement of Windows bashing articles.

Second, If I remember properly, Vista was a re-write of the windows kernal, UI, and such. Look how well drastic changes go over in this industry before you make assumptions. Apple has done nothing drastic in quite some time but release service packs to OSX that add or change features. Perhaps if Microsoft followed their strategy and released XP 2, then we wouldn't have this mess, but we also would not have a good amount of the new features that come in Vista.

Third, Windows 7 is going to be a simply polished version of Vista. However, that seems to be exactly what we need. I mean, whats really wrong with Windows in a basic sense? In my opinion, not too much. Whatever people griped about in Vista will be addressed in 7 if it has not already been taken care of by SP1 and soon SP2. Speed, bloat, UAC, compatilibilty, consistancy, and even some innovation with the new taskbar are being addressed and corrected and yet people complain and complain and complain. Personally I despise OSX, but not for the reasons you might think. I do not think it is a bad OS and I do not think people shouldn't use it. I just personally like Windows better. I love Vista and I'm really excited for 7.

Finally, what is this "Windows is a dead end" stuff? As far as I can tell, Windows is still the most used operating system throughout the world and it looks like it will continue that way for years and years. Perhaps one could consider Vista a flop, but it is nothing more than a bad step on a very long road. People make mistakes, they hopefully learn from them and use that experience for future projects. One bad version of the OS will not derail Windows, look at ME, XP came after it and still sells amazing. Vista may be dying already, but 7 looks to be the XP of the future.
(3 replies) #5 tirone on 04 Nov 2008 - 14:06
"Windows 7 is just a cleaned-up Vista."

Definitely nothing wrong with that imo!
#5.1 rajputwarrior on 04 Nov 2008 - 15:09
unfortunately the majority of the world doesn't agree with you...
#5.2 +DARKFiB3R on 04 Nov 2008 - 16:47
The majority of the world wouldn't have a clue what we are talking about here.
#5.3 Vezineth on 05 Nov 2008 - 08:30
DARKFiB3R said,
The majority of the world wouldn't have a clue what we are talking about here.


Thats because they just whine about how bad Vista without EVER actually using it. Ask any bastards who keeps screaming " Vista sucks ! " whether he actually used it before. You will feel like putting him in a washing machine cause he will say no.
(2 replies) #6 TheNay on 04 Nov 2008 - 15:23
Vista is in need of much help, I will be honest I tried Windows 7 pre-beta and it works better than Vista and you can tell it'll be the Vista that should've been shipped.
#6.1 Shadrack on 04 Nov 2008 - 18:27
TheNay said,
Vista is in need of much help, I will be honest I tried Windows 7 pre-beta and it works better than Vista and you can tell it'll be the Vista that should've been shipped.


What is it about Vista that needs help? How did Windows 7 "work better" exactly? Did it perform better? Seem snappier to you? Could you be more specific?
#6.2 PGHammer on 06 Nov 2008 - 09:49
Shadrack said,
What is it about Vista that needs help? How did Windows 7 "work better" exactly? Did it perform better? Seem snappier to you? Could you be more specific?


Other than driver issues (which were almost *entirely* the fault of the IHVs, not Microsoft), the biggest complaint (largely quibbling by quislings) with Vista was about UAC (as I said, quibbling by quislings; if you knew the source of the code that caused the prompt to appear in the first place, click Continue and move on). In what way is UAC really any different than the similar method required by Linux and OS X before anything gets installed? Or is all the griping really over a quite necessary, from a security standpoint, change in the validation process of software installation in Windows? In other words, is the quibbling by the quislings because they can't simply run software installs like so many lemmings anymore; they instead have to actually think before installing that software as to whether or not they can actually trust it?
#7 C_Guy on 04 Nov 2008 - 15:28
"Windows 7 is just a cleaned-up Vista"

Yup, much like XP is a "cleaned up" version of Windows NT. We've known Windows 7 would be based on Vista for a long time so this isn't a shock to anyone except InfoWorld.
(1 reply) #8 LTD on 04 Nov 2008 - 15:37
The good news is that MS has the Singularity and Midori projects underway. Rewrite in the works, it seems. These offer plenty of hope. Though at least one of these should have already seen the light of day. It's all very slow in coming.

At least, based on current reports, Windows 7 is quite an improvement and will be what Vista should have been. To what extent these improvements will be truly felt by users remains to be seen.
#8.1 dangel on 05 Nov 2008 - 12:01
LTD said,
The good news is that MS has the Singularity and Midori projects underway. Rewrite in the works, it seems. These offer plenty of hope. Though at least one of these should have already seen the light of day. It's all very slow in coming. .


MS have always had lots of research projects going - but they're well forked off the main dev tree and unlikely (in current form anyway) to hit the desktop market anytime soon. The fact that nonone else has managed to commercially implement such a beast is rather significant don't you think?


(5 replies) #9 Andre on 04 Nov 2008 - 18:05
I can't believe nobody is mentioning the new core, MinWin, which Win7 kernel is based around. That alone is already a step forward compared to Vista. Calling it a polished Vista is just silly at this stage. There will be lots of new stuff to make it worth calling a completely fresh new OS. Surely, it's based on technology introduced in Vista, but so is Vista being based on what XP and Win2003 gave us.
#9.1 vetSHoTTa35 on 04 Nov 2008 - 18:14
MinWin is a layer added on to the normal kernel. It is however, NOT the kernel as they originally planned. So the original Vista kernel is still there PLUS MinWin.
#9.2 Andre on 04 Nov 2008 - 18:31
SHoTTa35 said,
MinWin is a layer added on to the normal kernel. It is however, NOT the kernel as they originally planned. So the original Vista kernel is still there PLUS MinWin.

MinWin is not a layer on the existing kernel. MinWin IS the kernel. MinWin has no dependencies outside itself, meaning it can run on its own (which has already been shown earlier this year). If it were a layer, it would have to depend on something else, which like I just said, it doesn't.

Yes, the original Vista kernel is still there, at least some parts of it. But they are outside MinWin kernel.
#9.3 daerid on 05 Nov 2008 - 06:21
Andre said,
MinWin is not a layer on the existing kernel. MinWin IS the kernel. MinWin has no dependencies outside itself, meaning it can run on its own (which has already been shown earlier this year). If it were a layer, it would have to depend on something else, which like I just said, it doesn't.

Yes, the original Vista kernel is still there, at least some parts of it. But they are outside MinWin kernel.


I'm sorry, but this just isn't true. There have been plenty of posts and articles clarifying this point.

See:
http://shippingseven.blogspot.com/2008/05/...act-minwin.html
and
http://www.neowin.net/news/main/08/05/30/v...ve-minwinquot-2

MinWin was a tech demonstration of how they are revamping internal development at Microsoft. The Kernel is still the Kernel. And MS already stated on numerous occasions that Windows 7 is going to have kernel-level compatibility with Vista.

The NT kernel hasn't been revolutionized. Microsoft would be retarded to try to fix something that isn't broken.
#9.4 dangel on 05 Nov 2008 - 12:03
daerid said,
The NT kernel hasn't been revolutionized. Microsoft would be retarded to try to fix something that isn't broken.


Too true - the NT kernel is actually very good (as compared to other modern OS' kernels) but people have a problem working out what the distinction between that and the rest of the OS actually is.

#9.5 Andre on 05 Nov 2008 - 19:59
daerid said,
Andre said,
MinWin is not a layer on the existing kernel. MinWin IS the kernel. MinWin has no dependencies outside itself, meaning it can run on its own (which has already been shown earlier this year). If it were a layer, it would have to depend on something else, which like I just said, it doesn't.

Yes, the original Vista kernel is still there, at least some parts of it. But they are outside MinWin kernel.


I'm sorry, but this just isn't true. There have been plenty of posts and articles clarifying this point.

See:
http://shippingseven.blogspot.com/2008/05/...act-minwin.html
and
http://www.neowin.net/news/main/08/05/30/v...ve-minwinquot-2

MinWin was a tech demonstration of how they are revamping internal development at Microsoft. The Kernel is still the Kernel. And MS already stated on numerous occasions that Windows 7 is going to have kernel-level compatibility with Vista.

The NT kernel hasn't been revolutionized. Microsoft would be retarded to try to fix something that isn't broken.


Way to link to articles from May 2008. Here are 2 fresh ones for you from a couple of days ago.

http://channel9.msdn.com/shows/Going+Deep/...side-Windows-7/

http://www.windows-now.com/blogs/robert/ma...nd-for-all.aspx

The kernel is changing. But it's changing in a way that it still allows compatibility.

Last edited by Andre on 05 Nov 2008 - 20:17
(1 reply) #10 smooth_criminal1990 on 04 Nov 2008 - 18:31
"windows is a dead end"

/me stops reading.
#10.1 KavazovAngel on 04 Nov 2008 - 19:34
smooth_criminal1990 said,
"windows is a dead end"

/me stops reading.


Me too. Stop with this crap already.
(5 replies) #11 Ronnie Sunde on 04 Nov 2008 - 21:56
When Apple releases a new version of OSX that ONLY adds shiny new DOCK the world goes.. OOOOOOO WOW!!!!!!!!!

OK, it might not be just a new dock, but you get my point. Like the first poster said; "If you dont like it dont buy it."
#11.1 Raa on 04 Nov 2008 - 22:54
No, we don't get your point. Next time backup your post with a few more facts and a little less trolling.
#11.2 Ronnie Sunde on 04 Nov 2008 - 23:32
The point is, when Apple does something however small it is, it is awesome and everyone loves it, when MS does something it is never enough.
#11.3 LTD on 04 Nov 2008 - 23:45
No one said that the new Superbar (for example) is a bad thing. Looks great to me.

All that was originally suggested is that Windows should be rewritten. Something entirely new that is not NT code, not Win 2003 code, not XP code, etc. Something that will really address the whole issue of drivers, compatibility, etc. Much, much easier said than done, however.

Maybe Windows 7 has enough improvements and is streamlined enough to be as good as Vista was intended to be. So far, I must say, I like the look and function of the new taskbar. That in itself seems pretty major.
#11.4 mrmckeb on 05 Nov 2008 - 03:03
LTD said,
All that was originally suggested is that Windows should be rewritten.

LOL. That's all you ask?...
#11.5 dangel on 05 Nov 2008 - 12:04
mrmckeb said,
LOL. That's all you ask?...


It's already done - Vista kernel and up.
#12 Raa on 04 Nov 2008 - 22:54
The article is so true.

I'm actually looking forward to Windows 7, with people saying it has improved performance, finally!
#13 FrozenEclipse on 05 Nov 2008 - 00:53
It's too bad the majority of consumers are idiots, otherwise they might realize Vista actually isn't a bad operating system.
(2 replies) #14 mrmckeb on 05 Nov 2008 - 03:04
Neowin has disappointed again with another poorly thought out article.
#14.1 daerid on 05 Nov 2008 - 06:23
I agree. This article doesn't contain nearly enough information and evidence to support it's claims.

Windows Vista isn't as bad off as the tin-foil hatted media would have us believe. And it's disappointing to see Neowin contributing to this nonsense.
#14.2 +Chrono951 on 05 Nov 2008 - 07:40
If you don't like the content of the article, or think it is biased or not worthly of being called news, vote it down with the stars in the top right! Maybe when certain people on staff get so many articles with 1 star, they will realize that people really want them to stop posting stupid articles.
#15 dangel on 05 Nov 2008 - 11:56
Dumb article - we're a long way from anything other than desktop Windows as the mainstream OS.

As for those calling for a re-write - that's what you got with Vista, that's why it took so long. They abandoned patching the aging XP codebase (that's what stalled the project) and started over, kernel up. Sure, the template still derived from the NT line but that's why we had such radical change (under the covers) much like Windows 2000 was to NT 4. Of course, this caused a lot of driver issues (again, like Windows 2000) because of the new driver model (for example) which in turn jaded the view of the new OS by end users. XP was (and is) a more complete version of Windows 2000 (in fact, much of the feature set was originally planned for Windows 2000) and the same is true for Windows 7 over Vista. That said, expect lots of good stuff aside from speed improvements

I'm a dev, writing desktop apps for Vista with Win 7 in mind. I've got the PDC build and it's darn good

MS have changed a lot in the past few years - I wouldn't underestimate how deep that change goes either, some of the stuff they're pushing out really is very good and the sheer breadth of their technologies and tools make Windows a very appealing platform to someone like me.
#16 blagojce01 on 06 Nov 2008 - 01:47
Requirements

Windows 3.1 requires the following minimum configuration:
MS-DOS 3.1 or higher (5.0 preferred)
80286 processor or better
640 kB plus 256 kB extended memory (1024 kB extended memory preferred; 2048 kB for 80386)
Hard disk with 6 MB free (10 MB preferred)
EGA, VGA, XGA, 8514/A, Hercules, Super VGA or better (colour VGA preferred)
Microsoft Mouse or compatible pointing device is optional but highly recommended
Modem and multimedia devices are optional

Commenting has either been disabled on this article or you are not logged in. Click here to login or register, its free!

Note: Anonymous commenting is disabled in order to keep the quality of responses to a high standard.

Advertisement (Why?)